Thursday, December 14, 2017

Hey, Michael Sean!: Giving tax reform a bad name

Hey, Michael Sean!: Giving tax reform a bad name: https://www.ncronline.org/news/opinion/signs-times/giving-tax-reform-bad-name MGB:_..I got interested in tax policy in graduate school, when I learned about the demands of Catholic Social Teaching for a living wage based on family size, which along with my commitment to corporate socialism, which was really cooperative socialsm, was called Fiscal Communism. I later found out that Milton Friedman had the same idea, called the negative income tax and that President Ford had enacted it as a child tax credit.

In 1998, Ways and Means and Bill Clinton were talking about Social Security reform and I started making comments for the record and sharing them, often the old fashioned way, by mail. I also joined some online conversations on tax reform, replacing income taxes with a business income tax that filed taxes on what was already being withheld and then distributed tax benefits like the child tax credit. This is a good idea for working class households, but I have always believed that wealthier households should continue to pay a separate income tax.

In 2002, President Bush had a Social Security commission which I contributed to, consolidating these commets into an article for Labor and Corporate Governance in January 2003. (the second part on corporate governnace and wage equity was not printed). In 2005, I submitted testimony to the President’s Tax Reform Task Force, whcih included by two-part business income tax and corporate income surtax. These were included in my book, Musings from the Christian Left.

In 2011, Ways and Means and Finance began hearings on tax reform, while the Fiscal Commission also began deliberations on how to cut enough spending to deal with the expiration of the Bush Tax Cuts. For the next few years, I responded to each congressional hearing on tax reform, health care and Social Security, which were frequent until the passage of the American Tax Relief Act of 2013, which essentially gave President Obama exactly what he ran on, preserving tax cuts for the bottom 98% and letting them go back to Clinton levels for the top 2%. Corporate Tax reform was left on the agenda and dislike of Obama left it there.. I put forth a four point program as follows:

  • A Value Added Tax (VAT) to fund domestic military spending and domestic discretionary spending with a rate between 10% and 13%, which makes sure very American pays something.
  • Personal income surtaxes on joint and widowed filers with net annual incomes of $100,000 and single filers earning $50,000 per year to fund net interest payments, debt retirement and overseas and strategic military spending and other international spending, with graduated rates between 5% and 25%.  
  • Employee contributions to Old Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) with a lower income cap, which allows for lower payment levels to wealthier retirees without making bend points more progressive.
  • A VAT-like Net Business Receipts Tax (NBRT), which is essentially a subtraction VAT with additional tax expenditures for family support,  health care and the private delivery of governmental services, to fund entitlement spending and replace income tax filing for most people (including people who file without paying), the corporate income tax, business tax filing through individual income taxes and the employer contribution to OASI, all payroll taxes for hospital insurance, disability insurance, unemployment insurance and survivors under age 60.
Hearings started again when Kevin Brady became chairman of Ways and Means and continued through the release of introduction of the Tax and Job Cuts Act in the House, although the Senate held additional hearings before mark-up. It is certainly not what I spent the last The Bill contains nothing for the working or middle class and everything for corporations and the executive class. It essentially undoes Obama’s tax poliicies. It will lead to another boom and bust and give every incentive to companies to cut costs and give the savings to CEOs and stockholders. Even if the bill could be made bipartisan, it is rotten at the core and must be killed. My testimony on that can be found at  http://fiscalequity.blogspot.com/2017/11/tax-and-job-cuts-act.html

The standard deduction should be increased, but to four times what is proposed, with consumption taxes replacing that revenue and much higher taxes on the rich, as well as much more generous child tax credit increases to the levels USDA estimates are required to raise a child. That $1000 per child per month should come with pay, but as a carve out from base pay. Gift taxes are irrelevant. If they are still extant, then rates must be higher. Either way, the rich need to start paying down the debt before their children have to pay it back with still higher taxes. It should never be paid back by the working class. It is time to end the bondholder aristocracy started by Hamilton which this bill seeks to continue.

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

House-Senate Conference Committee for the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, H.R.1

Recommendations for the
United States Congress
Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, H.R.1
Wednesday, December 13, 2017, 2:00 P.M.
By Michael G. Bindner
Center for Fiscal Equity


Chairmen Brady and Hatch and Ranking Members Neal and Wyden, thank you for indulging us as frequent commentators for the record in one last set of suggestions to the Conference Committee on H.R.1.

This is not the tax reform bill we had hoped for. Frankly, the path negotiated during the Obama Administration enacted under the American Tax Relief Act and The Budget Control Act were adequate to give us our current economy, which is improving, albeit too slowly for workers.

We are on record predicting that enactment of the Fiscal and Job Cuts Act (not a typo) will restrict wages and cause other labor cost savings so that executives can cash in on the lower tax rates by earning higher bonuses, so that any economic gains (and growth could come faster) would be from deficit spending.

Countering with budget cuts, particularly to seniors, the disabled and the poor, both worthy and unworthy, will lead to the proceeds of these tax cuts being used for the kinds of assets that lead to boom and bust cycles, most recently the 2008 Great Recession.

We believe that the economy can do better and that some tax cuts are better than others, although entitlement reform is best pursed inside of a tax reform that contains a subtraction value added tax/net business receipts tax (NBRT), where certain entitlements can be shifted to employers in lieu of paying a portion of the tax, with this encouraging both employment and participation in training programs in order to have access to social services.
These deduction and credits could include everything from the last two years of undergraduate and graduate education to a more robust child tax credit to health care reform that encourages hiring medical staff directly (thus matching the incentive to cut cost to the ability to do so) to retirement savings in lieu of Social Security, although the savings should be in the form of employer voting stock rather than unaccountable index funds run from Wall Street. These reforms can be hammered out next year or in the next Congress, but the right tax to hold them is clearly the NBRT.

Aside from the short term economic benefit to workers from not giving CEOs an incentive to cut labor costs, we remind the Committee that in the future we face a crisis, not in entitlements, but in net interest on the debt, both from increased rates and growing principal. This growth will only feasible until either China or the European Union develop tradeable debt instruments backed by income taxation, which is the secret to the ability of the United States to be the world’s bond issuer.

The national debt is possible because of progressive income taxation. The liability for repayment, therefore, is a function of that tax. The Gross Debt (we have to pay back trust funds too) is $19 Trillion. Income Tax revenue is roughly $1.8 Trillion per year. That means that for every dollar you pay in taxes, you owe $10.55 in debt. People who pay nothing owe nothing. People who pay tens of thousands of dollars a year owe hundreds of thousands.

The answer is not making the poor pay more or giving them less benefits, either only slows the economy. Rich people must pay more and do it faster. My child is becoming a social worker, although she was going to be an artist. Don’t look to her to pay off the debt. Your children and grandchildren and those of your donors are the ones on the hook unless their parents step up and pay more. How’s that for incentive?
This proposal contains no analysis of the last minute cost savings measures, such as repealing the interest deduction on student loans or counting tuition waivers as imputed income or the loss of the medical expenses tax. If the Byrd Rule can be avoided by bipartisan action, these provisions should be stricken from the bill. They seemed like a dare to Senator Sanders to run again. Be careful what you wish for.

Let us work toward a plan to attract large enough bipartisan majorities to end concern over the Byrd Rule. Democratic donors will be fired up whether they get a tax cut or not, so refusing to deal just to monopolize the donor class will not work. Now that I have adequately offended and preached to the majority, let me now provide you with assistance in passing this bill.
We offer two scenarios at a high level, both target and range values. Their budgetary impact has not been estimated recently and their target is not a balanced budget at this time, alth0ugh one could be achieved by adding a 13% goods and services tax and a higher income surtax. Until a more robust growth rate is achieved, possibly triggering some wage inflation, balance is not recommended at this time, although it must come soon.

The difference between the two proposals is that consumption taxes will allow the income tax rates to go down and the standard deductions to go up, because most labor is already taxed. The end of the corporate income tax also eliminates the rational for separate dividend and capital gains rates.

If Congress has the will, it can limit the number of industry specific subtraction value added tax breaks. Whether these are retained for a goods and services tax can be determined later. It is harder to demand a tax break on profit to fund labor intensive activities when that tax also covers the labor of those researchers. Additionally, consumption taxes limit the overlap between labor and capital impacts essential to the corporate profits tax.

Finally, lower effective rates will result in the SVAT/NBRT if all of the entitlement reforms discussed above are undertaken. Indeed, the tax could be designed to go to almost zero (provided a goods and services tax were enacted for discretionary civil and military spending, which could be zero if that spending stopped, as could the income tax if the debt were minimized or eliminated.
           
Scenario One: No consumption tax
Standard Deduction:           $20,000 single, $40,000 joint
Income Tax:                          13% to $80,000, 26% to $180,00, 39% single
                                                13% to $110,000, 26% to $240,000, 39% joint
Child Tax Credit:                  $6000 per child ($500 paid monthly by Treasury)
Inflation:                               Chained CPI applies to SD, brackets and CTC
Social Security:                    Unchanged
Pass Through Rate:             26% (range 24% to 28%)
Corporate Income Tax:       26% (range 24% to 28%)
Dividend Rate:                     26% (39% during repatriation)
Capital Gains Rate:              26% (39% during repatriation)
Inheritance Tax:                  Asset liquidations counted as normal income, taxable after
26% rate and above
Estate Tax:                            Repealed immediately

Scenario Two: Consumption tax included
Standard Deduction:           $50,000 single, $100,000 joint
Subtraction VAT:                 31% before deductions and exclusions
Border Adjustment:             VAT Reduced to 13%, 13% VAT added to imports
Social Security:                   
Employee:                 OASI Unchanged, Disability, Health, ACA to SVAT
Employer:                 Moved to Subtraction VAT, Credited equally
Corporate Income Tax:       Repealed
Pass Through Rate: Repealed
Income Tax:                          13% to $130,000, 26% single
                                                13% to $210,000, 26% joint
Dividend Rate:                     Normal Rate
Capital Gains Rate:              Normal Rate
Inheritance Tax:                  Asset liquidations counted as normal income, taxable after
26% bracket
Estate Tax:                            Repealed immediately


Thank you for the opportunity to address the committee.  We are, of course, available for direct testimony or to answer questions by members and staff.