Wednesday, December 21, 2022

BREAKING: House Committee Votes To Release 6 Years Of Trump Tax Returns


It is troubling that they are judging Trump by presidential standards since he was in no way presidential. I am all for ending personal income taxation, shifting to salary/dividend surtaxes, value added tax and an asset value added tax to replace capital gains taxes (and ending subsidies for capital losses/failure). The big reason to get the taxes is to analyze how Trump made so much money by losing it on paper.

The majority staff will become the minority staff. They will still have the tax information and can certainly control how it is used in analyses.  It can also offload the analysis to the GAO for some purposes - or have Senate Finance do so. Finally, given the likelihood that much of MAGA world will face prosecution for the insurrection (ex., the Freedom Caucus), the Democrats may be back in the majority sooner than later. Much sooner if a handful of House Republicans vote for Jeffries for Speaker.

Wednesday, December 14, 2022

Trade and the Environment

WM Trade: Promoting Sustainable Environmental Practices Through Trade Policy, December 14, 2022

Our allergy to conforming to tax policy in the rest of the developed world is a boon to consumers, especially wealthier consumers who are also donors. This is not so good for workers. If the United States had a goods and services tax, the wealthy elite could not avoid taxation by borrowing from their asset portfolios to fund consumption. To end this tax dodge, tax consumption. Taxing asset value gains at sale rather than taxing end of the year results also leaves money on the table, but that is a discussion for another day. Please see our paper on taxes and trade policy for how credit invoice AND subtraction value added taxes will impact both trade policy and workers.

Deforestation was a concern of the hearing, however from an environmental perspective, the fact is that if agricultural activities are stopped, trees will retake the landscape. On the whole, given water, they are as environmentally resilient as pigeons, rats and cockroaches. They will inherit the Earth long after we have left it. 

Unregulated fishing is also a concern, although more for our fishing industry than for the fish - who are as mobile as mobile can be. Warming is more of a concern. In fishing grounds off the American Pacific Coast, fish that used to be available are gone. They have been replaced by squid. This is largely attributable to global climate change. I hope you like calamari.

From comments presented to the Subcommittee in April of 2021, on Climate Challenges On warming in general, there is no doubt that it is man-made. While there was a warm period around the first millennium, we came to it gradually. Industrialization may have ended what is called the Little Ice Age, but that warming is sudden and has dire consequences. We do not know that it will stop the way it did in the Middle Ages, indeed, it is not likely to, which makes these hearings vital.

Starting with the coasts, there will be sea level rise. Indeed, the flooding shown in Vice President Gore’s latest film shows how bad it is getting. The wealthy don’t seem to care, because they have flood insurance. The most basic step to at least get wealthier taxpayers on board (including the upper-middle class) is to cap flood insurance benefits to a level where beach houses properties  can no longer be insured. Even that small step could never be enacted. Too many donors have beach houses.

This is a bigger problem for some than the catch of the day, particularly in the Indo-Pacific region. In comments to the Finance Committee on Strategic Climate Engagement in the Indo-Pacific Region in March 2022 Warming in the United States is merely inconvenient. In the Indo-Pacific region, it will be deadly. Island nations and Bangladesh will simply be eliminated. This constitutes a large share of the global population. Java has 154 million people in the same space that the United States has 53 million in the Boston-Washington urban cluster. Visualize relocating them.

American agriculture is in no danger of losing its dominance. Our technological advantage is simply too great, as well as our willingness to look the other way on worker safety, just compensation and immigration rules (not to mention labor organizing) to bring cheaper food to the American table. We addressed the issue of forced agricultural labor, both here and abroad, in comments to the Finance Committee, and other places and have included these comments in the second attachment.

Child labor in farming is a major concern. This is the case in the United States as well. Peasant farmers and migrant workers traditionally employ all members of the family. The answer to this is educational opportunity, including measures such as paid learning to provide young people to meet the opportunity costs of getting an education.  This can be done through a variety of means, but I recommend funding through subtraction value added taxes on the state level rather than property taxes, state income taxes, federal aid or sales taxes.

Enforcement of international labor agreements is lacking in the area of workers rights. Industries have their finger on the scale, including at the tribunal level. Fixing this is about as likely as capping insurance coverage on beachfront property,as mentioned above. The problem is still capitalism and the solution is employee-ownership. This approach works both here and abroad. Once employee-ownership is a fact of life in the United States, employee owners will bring this model to overseas subsidiaries and supply chains. This will do what no trade agreement can.

Exporting more natural gas to Europe is certainly essential, but it does not take trade policy for American industry to fill that need. The promotion of shale mining in North Dakota is a matter of price, not trade. Currently, oil prices are falling and will continue to fall once reforms to the New York Mercantile Exchange oil futures market are restored. American producers have gotten a windfall from this bit of Trump era deregulation. This is a temporary matter.

Increasing nuclear power is an environmentally sustainable path, but it will only occur when the demand for more electricity rises as we move away from using gasoline in our cars. Getting this enacted is as likely, for now, as improving environmental and labor trade enforcement and limiting flood insurance. Since this hearing, Trump’s taxes have been revealed as Hell has frozen over in much of the nation. Even record low temperatures will not convince capitalists.

Employee-owners and forward thinking communities can step in where the market will not. In testimony to the Energy and Water Appropriations Subcommittee, I described an experiment to build an integrated system for providing electric power for cars and trucks, while reinventing the grid, that relied on overhead roof decks to transfer power to vehicles in the same way electric trains and buses work. Please see an excerpt in the attachments. We don’t need to drill for or export more oil. We need much less.

Advanced technology, employee-ownership and space exploration also take us back to the table. The latest news is that lab grown meat has cleared regulatory hurdles and will soon be coming to market. As these products gain a market (and inevitably improve), the need to worry about deforestation, slave labor in food production and manufacturing, ethical sourcing and animal cruelty, overpopulation and water pollution will vanish. 

Employee-owned firms, through cooperative purchasing, can both make such products available, as well as buying into their production and developing home based systems. Such miniaturization is vital for space colonies, both orbital and planetary, to not rely on Earth for their food. This is yet another case where throwing money at a problem works well. The NASA appropriation should be moved to the Defense subcommittee to shift from weapons production to space exploration in a more politically acceptable manner.

Attachment: Trade Policy Video

Attachment - Asset Value Added Tax

Asset VAT - The President’s Fiscal Year 2023 Budget, June 7, 2022

There are two debates in tax policy: how we tax salaries and how we tax assets (returns, gains and inheritances). Shoving too much into the Personal Income Tax mainly benefits the wealthy because it subsidizes losses by allowing investors to not pay tax on higher salaries with malice aforethought. 

Asset Value-Added Tax (A-VAT) is a replacement for capital gains taxes and the estate tax. It will apply to asset sales, exercised options, inherited and gifted assets and the profits from short sales. Tax payments for option exercises, IPOs, inherited, gifted and donated assets will be marked to market, with prior tax payments for that asset eliminated so that the seller gets no benefit from them. In this perspective, it is the owner’s increase in value that is taxed.  

As with any sale of liquid or real assets, sales to a qualified broad-based Employee Stock Ownership Plan will be tax free. This change would be counted as a tax cut, giving investors in public stock who make such sales the same tax benefit as those who sell private stock.

The repeal of corporate profits taxes as part of the creation of a subtraction value added taxes and repeal of capital gains taxes in the United States will lead to their repeal worldwide. If Asset Value Added Taxes are adopted, the rate should be negotiated so that investors who are able do not market shop for the lowest rate. The recent OECD compact on minimum rates is an example of how tax cooperation on capital can work for other types of asset taxation.This tax will end Tax Gap issues owed by high income individuals. The base 20% capital gains tax has been in place for decades. The current 23.8% rate includes the ACA-SM surtax), while the Biden proposal accepted by Senator Sinema is 28.8%. Our proposed Subtraction VAT would eliminate the 3.8% surtax. This would leave a 25% rate in place. 

Settling on a bipartisan 22.5% rate (give or take 0.5%) should be bipartisan and carried over from the capital gains tax to the asset VAT.A single rate also stops gaming forms of ownership. Lower rates are not as regressive as they seem. Only the wealthy have capital gains in any significant amount. The de facto rate for everyone else is zero.  

With tax subsidies for families shifted to an employer-based subtraction VAT, and creation of an asset VAT, taxes on salaries could be filed by employers without most employees having to file an individual return. It is time to TAX TRANSACTIONS, NOT PEOPLE!

The tax rate on capital gains is seen as unfair because it is lower than the rate for labor. This is technically true, however it is only the richest taxpayers who face a marginal rate problem. For most households, the marginal rate for wages is less than that for capital gains. Higher income workers are, as the saying goes, crying all the way to the bank.

In late 2017, tax rates for corporations and pass-through income were reduced, generally, to capital gains and capital income levels. This is only fair and may or may not be just. The field of battle has narrowed between the parties. The current marginal and capital rates are seeking a center point. It is almost as if the recent tax law was based on negotiations, even as arguments flared publicly. Of course, that would never happen in Washington. Never, ever.

Compromise on rates makes compromise on form possible. If the Affordable Care Act non-wage tax provisions are repealed, a rate of 26% is a good stopping point for pass-through, corporate, capital gains and capital income. 

A single rate also makes conversion from self-reporting to automatic collection through an asset value added tax levied at point of sale or distribution possible. This would be both just and fair, although absolute fairness is absolute unfairness to tax lawyers because there would be little room to argue about what is due and when. 

Ending the machinery of self-reporting also puts an end to the Quixotic campaign to enact a wealth tax. To replace revenue loss due to the ending of the personal income tax (for all but the wealthiest workers and celebrities), enact a Goods and Services Tax. A GST is inescapable. Those escapees who are of most concern are not waiters or those who receive refundable tax subsidies. It is those who use tax loopholes and borrowing against their paper wealth to avoid paying taxes. 

For example, if an unnamed billionaire or billionaires borrow against their wealth to go into space, creating such assets would be taxable under a GST or an asset VAT. When the Masters of the Universe on Wall Street borrow against their assets to avoid taxation, having to pay a consumption tax on their spending ends the tax advantage of gaming the system. 

This also applies to inheritors.  No “Death Tax” is necessary beyond marking the sale of inherited assets to market value (with sales to qualified ESOPs tax free). Those who inherit large cash fortunes will pay the GST when they spend the money or Asset VAT when they invest it. No special estate tax is required and no life insurance policy or retirement account inheritance rules will be of any use in tax avoidance.

Tax avoidance is a myth sold by insurance and investment brokers. In reality, explicit and implicit value added taxes are already in force. Individuals and firms that collect retail sales taxes receive a rebate for taxes paid in their federal income taxes. This is an intergovernmental VAT. Tax withheld by employers for the income and payroll taxes of their labor force is an implicit VAT. A goods and services tax simply makes these taxes visible.

Should the tax reform proposed here pass, there is no need for an IRS to exist, save to do data matching integrity. States and the Customs Service would collect credit invoice taxes, states would collect subtraction VAT, the SEC would collect the asset VAT and the Bureau of the Public Debt would collect income taxes or sell tax-prepayment bonds.

Video: https://youtu.be/azVxkDBN7AA