Thursday, March 29, 2012

Hearing on the Individual and Employer Mandates in the Democrats’ Health Care Law

Comments for the Record
House Committee on Ways and Means
Subcommittee on Health
Hearing on the Individual and Employer Mandates in the Democrats’ Health Care Law
Thursday, March 29, 2012, 9:00 AM
by Michael G. Bindner
The Center for Fiscal Equity


Chairman Herger and Ranking Member Stark, thank you for the opportunity to submit my comments on this topic.

The hearing advisory states that most people oppose the current law. While this is technically true, it is also true that a little less than half the opposition comes from progressives who wanted a stronger law in terms of government involvement. Additionally, those who oppose the law, in many cases, do not do so on its merits, which were mostly lifted from conservative think tanks and the Massachusetts experience, but because they see the law as a stepping stone to the kind of reform favored by the Democrats who oppose the law. Later in our comments, we will address how mandates under the law are inadequate to offset community rating and guaranteed acceptance procedures and the likely consequences of that. First, however, we will address some of the issues before the court regarding mandates.

Before even considering the constitutionality of mandates under the Commerce Clause, the Supreme Court will examine if the mandate penalty is actually a tax and if it is a tax, whether consideration of this issue is even ripe. The Center for Fiscal Equity has always believed that this penalty is, in fact, a tax, and that the Court will likely quickly rule that it is and that further consideration of its constitutionality must wait until the tax is collected, leaving all other issues in abeyance until that occurs – although, frankly, it would be an act of judicial malpractice to let clients go forward on a what would be a Quixotic quest against the taxing power to bring this up again.

That is the first hurdle and it is the out that the Court is looking for to avoid the complicated constitutional question. The second is that the dollars funding the public relations campaign against the law are not brought out because the don...ors object to the mandate, but because the non-wage income payroll taxes which will take effect soon are costing rich people money - especially since there are no offsets to paying them or passing the cost to customers - essentially turning these taxes into a VAT. Indeed, a VAT would be less objectionable than keeping these taxes in place, because the burden is more broadly shared, more visible and refundable at the border.

As an aside, the objection to using the threat of loss of federal funding to enforce Medicaid reforms is a long objection of so called “Federalists” (who are in truth, states rights supporters, which is something different) has never gained much traction, from using highway funding to enforce the 55 mile per hour speed limit to using the same funding to force a 21 year old drinking age. It is an unsophisticated objection. I made the same argument in Iowa Model legislature when in High School – contending that the clause prohibiting differing regulations of commerce or revenue applied. Any first year law student or historian will point out that this clause applies to international trade, not the regulation of interstate commerce or the use of intergovernmental funds. We suspect that the Court has likely allowed it to be argued to kill this argument once and for all. To expect either a radical rethinking of the Commerce Clause or intergovernmental funding requirements will occur at this time is the legal equivalent of believing in unicorns.

The opposition to reform is well funded and sophisticated. We believe it has nothing to do with mandates, the Commerce Clause or Medicaid funding. The real reason conservative major donors don't like the law is the funding mechanism for much of reform. Wealthy donors are writing checks because of provisions creating additional taxes on un-earned income that fix Medicare Part A funding and fund other health care reform, essentially turning the Hospital Insurance Tax into a Value Added Tax with an exemption on profits paid to the 98%. Fighting for repeal on this basis, however, would only be politically unpopular. Only judicial repeal would of the whole law stops this tax hike, although there is no justification for not severing this portion from the law, even if the mandate falls.

Note that whenever this tax applies to those whose holding operate in less than a perfectly competitive market, in other words to most commerce in 21st century America, the costs will likely be passed to the consumer and it would be more honest to simply enact a Value Added Tax or VAT-like Net Business Receipts Tax (which is proposed below).

We will now return to the question of the adequacy of mandates. The key issue for the future of health care consolidation is the impact of pre-existing condition reforms on the market for health insurance. Mandates under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) may be inadequate to keep people from dropping insurance - and will certainly not work if the mandate is rejected altogether for constitutional reasons.

If people start dropping insurance until they get sick – which is rational given the weakness of mandates – then private health insurance will require a bailout into an effective single payer system. The only way to stop this from happening is to enact a subsidized public option for those with pre-existing conditions while repealing mandates and pre-existing condition reforms.

In the event that Congress does nothing and private sector health insurance is lost, the prospects for premium support to replace the current Medicare program is lost as well. Premium support, as proposed by Chairman Ryan, also will not work if the ACA is repealed, since without the ACA, pre-existing condition protections and insurance exchanges eliminate the guarantee to seniors necessary for reform to succeed. Meanwhile, under a public option without pre-existing condition reforms, because seniors would be in the group of those who could not normally get insurance in the private market, the premium support solution would ultimately do nothing to fix Medicare’s funding problem.

Resorting to single-payer catastrophic insurance with health savings accounts (another Republican proposal) would not work as advertised, as health care is not a normal good. People will obtain health care upon doctor recommendations, regardless of their ability to pay. Providers will then shoulder the burden of waiting for health savings account balances to accumulate – further encouraging provider consolidation. Existing trends toward provider consolidation will exacerbate these problems, because patients will lack options once they are in a network, giving funders little option other than paying up as demanded.

Shifting to more public funding of health care in response to future events is neither good nor bad. Rather, the success of such funding depends upon its adequacy and its impact on the quality of care – with inadequate funding and quality being related. For example, Medicare provider cuts under current law have been suspended for over a decade, the consequence of which is adequate care. By way of comparison, Medicaid provider cuts have been strictly enforced, which has caused most providers to no longer see Medicaid patients, driving them to hospital emergency rooms and free clinics with long waiting periods to get care.

Ultimately, fixing health care reform will require more funding, probably some kind of employer payroll or net business receipts tax – which would also fund the shortfall in Medicare and Medicaid (and take over most of their public revenue funding). We will now move to an analysis of funding options and their impact on patient care and cost control.

The committee well understands the ins and outs of increasing the payroll tax, so I will confine my remarks to a fuller explanation of Net Business Receipts Taxes (NBRT). Its base is similar to a Value Added Tax (VAT), but not identical.

Unlike a VAT, an NBRT would not be visible on receipts and should not be zero rated at the border – nor should it be applied to imports. While both collect from consumers, the unit of analysis for the NBRT should be the business rather than the transaction. As such, its application should be universal – covering both public companies who currently file business income taxes and private companies who currently file their business expenses on individual returns.

The key difference between the two taxes is that the NBRT should be the vehicle for distributing tax benefits for families, particularly the Child Tax Credit, the Dependent Care Credit and the Health Insurance Exclusion, as well as any recently enacted credits or subsidies under the ACA. In the event the ACA is reformed, any additional subsidies or taxes should be taken against this tax (to pay for a public option or provide for catastrophic care and Health Savings Accounts and/or Flexible Spending Accounts).

If cost savings under an NBRT, allow companies to offer services privately to both employees and retirees in exchange for a substantial tax benefit. Employers who fund catastrophic care would get an even higher benefit, with the proviso that any care so provided be superior to the care available through Medicaid. Making employers responsible for most costs and for all cost savings allows them to use some market power to get lower rates, but no so much that the free market is destroyed. The ability to exercise market power, with a requirement that services provided in lieu of public services be superior, will improve the quality of patient care. To the extent that

This proposal is probably the most promising way to decrease health care costs from their current upward spiral – as employers who would be financially responsible for this care through taxes would have a real incentive to limit spending in a way that individual taxpayers simply do not have the means or incentive to exercise. While not all employers would participate, those who do would dramatically alter the market. In addition, a kind of beneficiary exchange could be established so that participating employers might trade credits for the funding of former employees who retired elsewhere, so that no one must pay unduly for the medical costs of workers who spent the majority of their careers in the service of other employers.

Employer provided health care will also reverse the trend toward market consolidation among providers. The extent to which firms hire doctors as staff and seek provider relationships with providers of hospital and specialty care is the extent to which the forces of consolidation are overcome by buyers with enough market power to insist on alternatives, with better care among the criteria for provider selection.

The NBRT would replace disability insurance, hospital insurance, the corporate income tax, business income taxation through the personal income tax and the mid range of personal income tax collection, effectively lowering personal income taxes by 25% in most brackets. Note that collection of this tax would lead to a reduction of gross wages, but not necessarily net wages – although larger families would receive a large wage bump, while wealthier families and childless families would likely receive a somewhat lower net wage due to loss of some tax subsidies and because reductions in income to make up for an increased tax benefit for families will likely be skewed to higher incomes. For this reason, a higher minimum wage is necessary so that lower wage workers are compensated with more than just their child tax benefits.

Thank you for the opportunity to address the committee. We are, of course, available for direct testimony or to answer questions by members and staff.

Wednesday, March 07, 2012

The Treatment of Closely-Held Businesses in the Context of Tax Reform

Comments for the Record
U.S. House of Representatives
Committee on Ways and Means
Hearing on the Treatment of Closely-Held Businesses in the Context of Tax Reform
Wednesday, March 7, 2012, 10:00 AM

By Michael G. Bindner
Center for Fiscal Equity

 
Chairman Camp and Ranking Member Levin, thank you for the opportunity to submit these comments for the record to the House Ways and Means Committee. Our comments are an expansion of last month’s comments and are, as always, in the context of our tax reform plan, which has the following four elements:
  • A Value Added Tax (VAT) to fund domestic military spending and domestic discretionary spending with a rate between 10% and 13%, which makes sure very American pays something.
  • Personal income surtaxes on joint and widowed filers with net annual incomes of $100,000 and single filers earning $50,000 per year to fund net interest payments, debt retirement and overseas and strategic military spending and other international spending, with graduated rates between 5% and 25% in either 5% or 10% increments. Heirs would also pay taxes on distributions from estates, but not the assets themselves.
  • Employee contributions to Old Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) with a lower income cap, which allows for lower payment levels to wealthier retirees without making bend points more progressive.
  • A VAT-like Net Business Receipts Tax (NBRT), which is essentially a subtraction VAT with additional tax expenditures for family support, personal retirement accounts, health care and the private delivery of governmental services, to fund entitlement spending and replace income tax filing for most people (including people who file without paying), the corporate income tax, business tax filing through individual income taxes and the employer contribution to OASI, all payroll taxes for hospital insurance, disability insurance, unemployment insurance and survivors under age 60.
We have no proposals regarding environmental taxes, customs duties, excise taxes and other offsetting expenses, although increasing these taxes would result in a lower VAT. Small and closely held businesses already pay these taxes and will continue to in reform.

Small businesses will pay VAT, although they may not be a VAT collector, depending upon whether business size exemptions are included in any VAT legislation. Their impact would be merely to report the VAT they pay on the receipt so that customers may be aware of taxation while those who use the product in their supply chain can use this information for credits against their VAT collection. Larger businesses which are closely held will pay VAT in the same way public companies do.

Small businesses may likewise not have to pay the NBRT. Indeed, for consultants who work primarily for one client or sell from one supplier, NBRT rules should mandate that small firm employees be treated like employees of the larger firm for purposes of health care coverage and the Child Tax Credit, should the consultant or distributor not meet the income thresholds included for filing. Large business which are closely held will pay the NBRT in the same way public companies do.

 
Accounting for Employee-paid Old Age and Survivors Insurance will be no more complicated than current law, while accounting for the income surtax will be greatly simplified. Individuals who previously paid their business taxes as part of income taxation will only file the income surtax if they clear $50,000 after paying staff ($100,000 for joint filers and qualified widow(er)s). The only complexity will be accounting for sales to a qualified ESOP, which may continue to be tax exempt – although if personal accounts are enacted under OASI it may be wise to repeal the ESOP deduction so that the wave of ESOP conversions that will result will allow a substantial pay down to the national debt, which will more quickly allow the sunset of the income surtax.

 
Establishment of personal accounts as an offset for Old Age and Survivors Insurance will require complex accounting rules, but only for firms which pay the NBRT. Again, consultants and distributors who do not should be afforded the opportunity to accumulate personal accounts through the larger firm they deal with, buying their company stock as if they were full-time employees. For example, workers at car dealerships would have the opportunity to invest in personal accounts of that manufacturer, even if the dealership is large enough to pay the NBRT. Larger closely held firms may also wish to rethink their form of ownership to take advantage of the opportunity personal retirement accounts afford for both capital accumulation (for both firms and individuals) and for succession planning.

 
Thank you for the opportunity to address the committee. We are, of course, available for direct testimony or to answer questions by members and staff.

Tuesday, March 06, 2012

Tax Reform Options: Capital Investment and Manufacturing

Comments for the Record
United States Senate
Committee on Finance
Tax Reform Options: Capital Investment and Manufacturing
Tuesday, March 6, 2012, 10:00 AM
215 Dirksen Senate Office Building
By Michael Bindner
Center for Fiscal Equity


Chairman Baucus and Ranking Member Hatch, thank you for the opportunity to address these topics, which were originally submitted for the original hearing date in October 2011. In our comments, we will address how our four part tax plan relates to these issues, specifically how investment expenses are paid for in a consumption tax environment, the impact of lower tax rates on productivity and jobs, how corporate ownership may be impacted under various scenarios for Personal Accounts in Social Security and the impact of tax reform on globalization.

As you know, the Center for Fiscal Equity has a four part proposal for long term tax and health care reform. The key elements are

  • a Value Added Tax (VAT) that everyone pays, except exporters,
  • a VAT-like Net Business Receipts Tax (NBRT) that is paid by employers and includes OASI employer contributions but, because it has offsets for providing health care, insured personal retirement accounts, education benefits and family support, does not show up on the receipt and is not avoidable at the border,
  • an employee payroll tax to for Old Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI), and
  • an income and inheritance surtax on high income individuals so that in the short term they are not paying less of a tax burden because they are more likely to save than spend – and thus avoid the VAT and indirect payment of the NBRT.

In a VAT and Net Business Receipts Tax environment, tax is paid to the suppliers of plant and equipment when services are invoiced. VAT is receipt visible, while NBRT, as a vehicle for deductions, is designed not to be (hence the need for a second tax). Those providers then pay taxes to the taxing authority based on those sales. How these assets are accounted for in the price of the product, however, is open for debate.

The credit against VAT and NBRT collections resulting from purchasing investment assets might be applied in the year the purchase is made or, if Congress so desires, the credit can be applied over the useful life of the asset. Extending the credit allows the taxpaying business to even out tax payments over time and will cause less disruption along the supply chain so that the entire price of the item is not a VAT credit at the next stage in the production process. How other nations deal with these questions is dealt with in the VAT literature and is beyond the scope of these comments. Should the Committee desire a more complete treatment of this issue, a separate hearing would be appropriate.

Separate rules could conceivably be adopted for VAT and NBRT, as VAT is collected on a transaction basis, similar to Sales Taxes, while NBRT can be calculated on a period basis, like Corporate Income Taxes. This is especially the case if NBRT collections are not “receipt visible” due to their purpose as a vehicle for claiming offsets for the Child Tax Credit, the health insurance exclusion and other tax expenditures.

As important as how capital expenditures are treated as a factor of production is how dividends and capital gains are taxed. Prior to 1981, tax rates at the highest income levels were confiscatory, especially between 1956 and 1965 when the tax rate was 91%. During this era, special tax benefits were necessary so that when combined with state taxes, the effective tax rate was not over 100% of income. Beginning in 1981, tax obligations for these forms of income declined in several steps, including the 1986 tax reform, the 1997 decrease in capital gains tax rates to the current permanent rate of 20% and the 2003 tax legislation which dropped these rates to 15%.

While technology exploded during this period, as we moved from the mainframe computer to Cloud Computing, robotic and the iPad, much of this explosion was incentivized by the ability of owners to keep an ever increasing percentage of the resulting productivity gains, as well as productivity gains from taking advantage of the expansion of free trade due to the North American Free Trade Agreement, other trade actions and the opening of China as a source of cheap assembly. If the gains from these investments were all kept by the government, they might not have been made. The downside of such gains, however, is the loss of manufacturing jobs, as well as a greater incentive to engage in union busting and the threat of union busting to keep wage increases low, essentially excluding the middle class from enjoying the benefit of these gains through wages, although some might realize them to the extent that they have accumulated either pension assets or participated in defined contribution plans.

Studies have shown that dividend payouts of these productivity gains are generally at the level of normal profit. Dividend levels have not substantially increased due to these gains. Instead, they have gone mainly to CEO bonuses and stock grants and options. While CEO leadership is, of course, important to the adoption of innovation and investment, it is not so great that this factor deserves the lion’s share of reward.

It is rather unseemly that fiscal policy has had what amounts to a causal effect on what can be described as disastrous levels of inequality, leading most consumers to borrow to maintain their standard of living and partake in the rise of advanced consumer electronics that in another form has reduced their wages. This overleveraging has led us to the financial situation now plaguing this nation, which can best be described as a long term Depression, even though there are periods of recession and recovery within this era.

Tax reform can ameliorate these effects. Adoption of consumption taxes like a VAT and NBRT impact labor and capital equally. In Europe, this allows for the adoption of lower rates for capital gains taxes. While profit is theoretically taxed by the Corporate Income Tax, such taxation is uneven given the maze of special tax provisions favoring some industries and businesses over others, leaving profit untaxed in many cases, except as part of personal income taxation. Given the probability of evasion, lower rates are not justified. This Center opposed these rate cuts in 2003 and we continue to oppose them.

In the area of personal income taxation, the Center favors a single rate structure for dividend, capital gain, wage and inherited income (rather than inherited assets that are not yet liquidated – with the only exception being that proceeds from sales of these assets to a broad based Employee Stock Ownership would remain tax free). Tax rates could range from 4% on at the $100,000 a year level for joint filers or widows ($50,000 for individuals) to a top level of 28% - which is roughly the effective rate for the NBRT (to discourage income shifting). While fewer, less graduated rates are possible, most middle income taxpayers would not find them desirable. As tax tables will only have a single rate for each income level, the existence of multiple rates does not increase complexity for the taxpayer.

Another option to ameliorate the maldistribution of wealth is the adoption of Personal Retirement Accounts for Social Security, although doing so is like holding a lightning rod in a thunderstorm. We do agree with President Obama that such accounts should not be used for speculative investments or even for unaccountable index fund investments where fund managers ignore the interests of workers. Investing such accounts in insured employee-ownership of the workplace would have an entirely different outcome, especially if voting shares occurred on an occupational basis with union representation. The impact at the international level of such employee-ownership if extended to subsidiaries and the supply chain is also potentially profound, especially in regard to transfer pricing and the international growth of the union movement.

A major strength of Social Security is its income redistribution function. We suspect that much of the support for personal accounts is to subvert that function – so any proposal for such accounts must move redistribution to account accumulation by equalizing the employer contribution.

We propose directing personal account investments to employer voting stock, rather than an index funds or any fund managed by outside brokers. There are no Index Fund billionaires (except those who operate them). People become rich by owning and controlling their own companies. Additionally, keeping funds in-house is the cheapest option administratively. We expect it is even cheaper than the Social Security system – which operates at a much lower administrative cost than any defined contribution plan in existence.

Safety is, of course, a concern with personal accounts. Rather than diversifying through investment, however, we propose diversifying through insurance. A portion of the employer stock purchased would be traded to an insurance fund holding shares from all such employers. Additionally, any personal retirement accounts shifted from employee payroll taxes or from payroll taxes from non-corporate employers would go to this fund.

The insurance fund will serve as a safeguard against bad management. If a third of shares were held by the insurance fund than dissident employees holding 25.1% of the employee-held shares (16.7% of the total) could combine with the insurance fund held shares to fire management if the insurance fund agreed there was cause to do so. Such a fund would make sure no one loses money should their employer fail and would serve as a sword of Damocles’ to keep management in line. This is in contrast to the Cato/ PCSSS approach, which would continue the trend of management accountable to no one. The other part of my proposal that does so is representative voting by occupation on corporate boards, with either professional or union personnel providing such representation.

The suggestions made here are much less complicated than the current mix of proposals to change bend points and make OASI more of a needs based program. If the personal account provisions are adopted, there is no need to address the question of the retirement age. Workers will retire when their dividend income is adequate to meet their retirement income needs, with or even without a separate Social Security program.

No other proposal for personal retirement accounts is appropriate. Personal accounts should not be used to develop a new income stream for investment advisors and stock traders. It should certainly not result in more “trust fund socialism” with management that is accountable to no cause but short term gain. Such management often ignores the long-term interests of American workers and leaves CEOs both over-paid and unaccountable to anyone but themselves.

Progressives should not run away from proposals to enact personal accounts. If the proposals above are used as conditions for enactment, I suspect that they won’t have to. The investment sector will run away from them instead and will mobilize their constituency against them. Let us hope that by then workers become invested in the possibilities of reform.

All of the changes proposed here work more effectively if started sooner. The sooner that the income cap on contributions is increased or eliminated, the higher the stock accumulation for individuals at the higher end of the age cohort to be covered by these changes – although conceivably a firm could be allowed to opt out of FICA taxes altogether provided they made all former workers and retirees whole with the equity they would have otherwise received if they had started their careers under a reformed system. I suspect, though, that most will continue to pay contributions, with a slower phase in – especially if a slower phase in leaves current management in place.

The international consequences of adopting personal retirement accounts which include employee-ownership are also interesting. As employees begin to own and control their workplace, they will find it in their best interests to include overseas subsidiaries and their supply chains in the same type of arrangement. They are also more likely to set transfer pricing so that all employees in an international enterprise receive the same standard of living from work, so that incentives to exploit other workers would be eliminated. This development would not only revive the labor movement, it would make it international in a way that trading agreements have not been able to accomplish. Recognition of this fact should make the possibility of personal accounts more attractive to progressives and the more populist members of the Tea Party, but not to the more corporatist members of either party.

International aspects are unavoidable in a discussion of tax reform. Indeed, one of the reasons for engaging in tax reform is to increase the competitiveness of American manufacturers. While VAT does not function as an explicit tariff, the lack of one while many of our trading partners have one essentially builds all of our tax costs into the cost of exported products, where competing nations exclude these costs at the border. The current regime violates the spirit, though likely not the letter, of constitutional provisions banning export taxes.

As the Committee is well aware, VAT is good for competiveness because it can be zero rated at the border for exports and collected fully for imports. Unlike a VAT, an NBRT would not be visible on receipts and should not be zero rated at the border – nor should it be applied to imports. While both collect from consumers, the unit of analysis for the NBRT should be the business rather than the transaction. As such, its application should be universal – covering both public companies who currently file business income taxes and private companies who currently file their business expenses on individual returns.

It is not appropriate for NBRT to be zero rated, as doing so would decrease the incentive to pass Child Tax Credit and Health Insurance tax benefits to employees. As importantly, the tax benefits and government services provided under this tax go to workers and their families. As such, overseas purchasers accrue benefits from these services and should therefore participate in their funding.

If the NBRT is enacted in this way, the United States should seek modification to our trade agreements to require that similar expenditures not be funded with taxes that are zero rated at the border. As foreign consumers benefit from subsidies for American families, American consumers benefit from services provided to overseas workers and their families. This benefit should be recognized in international tax and trade policy and American workers should not be penalized when other nations refuse to distribute the cost of benefits to foreign workers to the American consumers who receive the benefit of these services. If our trading partners do not match this initiative, some items of spending could be shifted from NBRT funding to VAT funding, so that we are not making unilateral concessions in this area.

The final question on capital investment is the repatriation of profit from overseas subsidiaries. Under a consumption tax regime, there would be no separate levy on profit. Value added taxes are already paid in the country where the product is sold and these taxes include both the contributions of labor and capital. For the purposes of businesses, profit should not be taxed again when repatriated, except to the extent that this profit results from value added in the United States. Use of VAT exemptions must not be allowed as a tax avoidance scheme. Products with parts that have been produced or developed in the United States, then sent elsewhere for assembly, must reacquire any obligation to pay that was shed at the border. Not providing for this contingency opens the door for a great deal of abuse.

The source nation of dividend income, meanwhile, must be irrelevant for purposes of collection of the proposed high income and inheritance surtax. The subject of this tax is not the income of the business, which has been shifted to the NBRT for individual filers, but the income of households for personal consumption and savings. The existence of this tax takes into account the decreased likelihood that this income will be spent and therefore taxed under NBRT and VAT regimes and to safeguard savings opportunities for the non-wealthy, who would otherwise be priced out of the market for investments by higher income individuals who, because they have greater opportunities to save, garner greater and greater shares of America’s wealth. The proposed surtax is an attempt to level the playing field so that everyone can invest.

Thank you for the opportunity to address the committee. We are, of course, available for direct testimony or to answer questions by members and staff.

Independent Payments Advisory Board

Comments for the Record
House Committee on Ways and Means
Subcommittee on Health
Independent Payments Advisory Board
Tuesday, March 6, 2012, 10:00 AM
By Michael G. Bindner
Center for Fiscal Equity

Chairman Herger and Ranking Member Stark, thank you for the opportunity to submit these comments for the record to the Subcommittee on Health of the House Ways and Means Committee. We will leave it to the scheduled witnesses to assess the impact of the Independent Payments Advisory Board and will confine our comments to alternative methods of cost control. As always, our comments will be made within the context of our tax and entitlement reform proposals. The Center for Fiscal Equity proposes a large ball solution with four major provisions:
  • A Value Added Tax (VAT) to fund domestic military spending and domestic discretionary spending.
  • Personal income surtaxes on joint and widowed filers with net annual incomes of $100,000 and single filers earning $50,000 per year to fund net interest payments, debt retirement and overseas and strategic military spending and other international spending, with graduated rates between 5% and 25% in either 5% or 10% increments.
  • Employee contributions to Old Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) with a lower income cap, which allows for lower payment levels to wealthier retirees without making bend points more progressive.
  • A VAT-like Net Business Receipts Tax (NBRT), which is essentially a subtraction VAT with additional tax expenditures for family support, health care and the private delivery of governmental services, to fund entitlement spending and replace income tax filing for most people (including people who file without paying), the corporate income tax, business tax filing through individual income taxes and the employer contribution to OASI, all payroll taxes for hospital insurance, disability insurance, unemployment insurance and survivors under age 60. The funding of Medicare will be accomplished solely with the NBRT and any exclusions for private insurance will be as an offset to this tax.

The NBRT base is similar to a Value Added Tax (VAT), but not identical. Unlike a VAT, an NBRT would not be visible on receipts and should not be zero rated at the border – nor should it be applied to imports. While both collect from consumers, the unit of analysis for the NBRT should be the business rather than the transaction. As such, its application should be universal – covering both public companies who currently file business income taxes and private companies who currently file their business expenses on individual returns.

To extract health cost savings using the NBRT, allow companies to offer services privately to both employees and retirees in exchange for a substantial tax benefit, provided that services are at least as generous as the current programs. Employers who fund catastrophic care would get an even higher benefit, with the proviso that any care so provided be superior to the care available through Medicaid. Making employers responsible for most costs and for all cost savings allows them to use some market power to get lower rates, but not so much that the free market is destroyed. Increasing Part B and Part D premiums also makes it more likely that an employer-based system will be supported by retirees.

Enacting the NBRT is probably the most promising way to decrease health care costs from their current upward spiral – as employers who would be financially responsible for this care through taxes would have a real incentive to limit spending in a way that individual taxpayers simply do not have the means or incentive to exercise. While not all employers would participate, those who do would dramatically alter the market. In addition, a kind of beneficiary exchange could be established so that participating employers might trade credits for the funding of former employees who retired elsewhere, so that no one must pay unduly for the medical costs of workers who spent the majority of their careers in the service of other employers.

If this proposal is adopted, employers would serve the function the IPAB will attempt to serve, because it will be in their interest to do so. They will have a direct incentive to pay for only treatments that have a positive effect on the well being of their retirees, especially if the NBRT also funds personal retirement accounts for employees which are invested in employer voting stock, an option we suggest. Indeed, an employee-ownership option is the best assurance that cost cutting does not include denying coverage that extends life significantly in order to minimize pension costs.

The IPAB might still have a function under such a reform as an information source for Medicare services provided to retirees from companies who do not offer alternative delivery, as well as for companies who do, but who would find the information developed by the IPAB valuable to their decision making on care.

Thank you for the opportunity to address the committee. We are, of course, available for direct testimony or to answer questions by members and staff.

Thursday, March 01, 2012

Tax Reform to Encourage Growth, Reduce the Deficit, and Promote Fairness

Comments for the Record
Senate Committee on the Budget
Tax Reform to Encourage Growth, Reduce the Deficit, and Promote Fairness
Thursday, March 1, 2012, 10:00 AM
By Michael G. Bindner
Center for Fiscal Equity

 
Chairman Conrad and Ranking Member Sessions, thank you for the opportunity to submit these comments for the record to the Senate Budget Committee, which allow us to highlight the proposals for tax reform we included in our comments regarding the FY2013 budget.

The Center for Fiscal Equity tax reform proposal has four major provisions:
  • A Value Added Tax (VAT) to fund domestic military spending and domestic discretionary spending with a rate between 10% and 13%, which makes sure very American pays something.
  • Personal income surtaxes on joint and widowed filers with net annual incomes of $100,000 and single filers earning $50,000 per year to fund net interest payments, debt retirement and overseas and strategic military spending and other international spending, with graduated rates between 5% and 25% in either 5% or 10% increments. Heirs would also pay taxes on distributions from estates, but not the assets themselves, with distributions from sales to a qualified ESOP continuing to be exempt.
  • Employee contributions to Old Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) with a lower income cap, which allows for lower payment levels to wealthier retirees without making bend points more progressive.
  • A VAT-like Net Business Receipts Tax (NBRT), which is essentially a subtraction VAT with additional tax expenditures for family support, health care and the private delivery of governmental services, to fund entitlement spending and replace income tax filing for most people (including people who file without paying), the corporate income tax, business tax filing through individual income taxes and the employer contribution to OASI, all payroll taxes for hospital insurance, disability insurance, unemployment insurance and survivors under age 60.
We have no proposals regarding environmental taxes, customs duties, excise taxes and other offsetting expenses, although increasing these taxes would result in a lower VAT. American competitiveness is enhanced by enacting a VAT, as exporters can shed some of the burden of taxation that is now carried as a hidden export tax in the cost of their products. The NBRT will also be zero rated at the border to the extent that it is not offset by deductions and credits for health care, family support and the private delivery of governmental services.

Some oppose VATs because they see it as a money machine, however this depends on whether they are visible or not. A receipt visible VAT is as susceptible to public pressure to reduce spending as the FairTax is designed to be, however unlike the FairTax, it is harder to game. Avoiding lawful taxes by gaming the system should not be considered a conservative principle, unless conservatism is in defense of entrenched corporate interests who have the money to game the tax code.

Our VAT rate estimates are designed to fully fund non-entitlement domestic spending not otherwise offset with dedicated revenues. This makes the burden of funding government very explicit to all taxpayers. Nothing else will reduce the demand for such spending, save perceived demands from bondholders to do so – a demand that does not seem evident given their continued purchase of U.S. Treasury Notes.

Value Added Taxes can be seen as regressive because wealthier people consume less, however when used in concert with a high-income personal income tax and with some form of tax benefit to families, as we suggest as part of the NBRT, this is not the case.

The shift from an income tax based system to a primarily consumption based system will dramatically decrease participation in the personal income tax system to only the top 20% of households in terms of income. Currently, only roughly half of households pay income taxes, which is by design, as the decision has been made to favor tax policy to redistribute income over the use of direct subsidies, which have the stink of welfare. This is entirely appropriate as a way to make work pay for families, as living wage requirements without such a tax subsidy could not be sustained by small employers.

The income surtax is earmarked for overseas military, naval sea and international spending because this spending is most often deficit financed in times of war. Earmarking repayment of trust funds for Social Security and Medicare, acknowledges the fact that the buildup of these trust funds was accomplished in order to fund the spending boom of the 1980s without reversing the tax cuts which largely benefited high income households.

Earmarking debt repayment and net interest in this way also makes explicit the fact that the ability to borrow is tied to the ability to tax income, primarily personal income. The personal or household liability for repayment of that debt is therefore a function of each household’s personal income tax liability. Even under current tax law, most households that actually pay income taxes barely cover the services they receive from the government in terms of national defense and general government services. It is only the higher income households which are truly liable for repayment of the national debt, both governmental and public.

If the debt is to ever be paid back rather than simply monetized, both domestically and internationally (a situation that is less sustainable with time), the only way to do so without decreasing economic growth is to tax higher income earners more explicitly and at higher rates than under current policy, or even current law.
The decrease in economic class mobility experienced in recent decades, due to the collapse of the union movement and the rapid growth in the cost of higher education, means that the burden of this repayment does not fall on everyone in the next generation, but most likely on those who are living in high income households now.

Let us emphasize the point that when the donors who take their cues from Americans for Tax Reform bundle their contributions in support of the No Tax Pledge, they are effectively burdening their own children with future debt, rather than the entire populace. Unless that fact is explicitly acknowledged, gridlock over raising adequate revenue will continue.

Unlike other proposals, a graduated rate for the income surtax is suggested, as at the lower levels the burden of a higher tax rate would be more pronounced. More rates make the burden of higher rates easier to bear, while actually providing progressivity to the system rather than simply offsetting the reduced tax burden due to lower consumption and the capping of the payroll tax for Old Age and Survivors Insurance.

One of the most oft-cited reforms for dealing with the long term deficit in Social Security is increasing the income cap to cover more income while increasing bend points in the calculation of benefits, the taxability of Social Security benefits or even means testing all benefits, in order to actually increase revenue rather than simply making the program more generous to higher income earners. Lowering the income cap on employee contributions, while eliminating it from employer contributions and crediting the employer contribution equally removes the need for any kind of bend points at all, while the increased floor for filing the income surtax effectively removes this income from taxation. Means testing all payments is not advisable given the movement of retirement income to defined contribution programs, which may collapse with the stock market – making some basic benefit essential to everyone.

Moving the majority of Old Age and Survivors Tax collection to a consumption tax, such as the NBRT, effectively expands the tax base to collect both wage and non-wage income while removing the cap from that income. This allows for a lower tax rate than would otherwise be possible while also increasing the basic benefit so that Medicare Part B and Part D premiums may also be increased without decreasing the income to beneficiaries.

If personal accounts are added to the system, a higher rate could be collected, however recent economic history shows that such investments are better made in insured employer voting stock rather than in unaccountable index funds, which give the Wall Street Quants too much power over the economy while further insulating ownership from management. Too much separation gives CEOs a free hand to divert income from shareholders to their own compensation through cronyism in compensation committees, as well as giving them an incentive to cut labor costs more than the economy can sustain for purposes of consumption in order to realize even greater bonuses. Employee-ownership ends the incentive to enact job-killing tax cuts on dividends and capital gains, which leads to an unsustainable demand for credit and money supply growth and eventually to economic collapse similar to the one most recently experienced.

The NBRT base is similar to a Value Added Tax (VAT), but not identical. Unlike a VAT, an NBRT would not be visible on receipts and should not be zero rated at the border – nor should it be applied to imports. While both collect from consumers, the unit of analysis for the NBRT should be the business rather than the transaction. As such, its application should be universal – covering both public companies who currently file business income taxes and private companies who currently file their business expenses on individual returns.
In the long term, the explosion of the debt comes from the aging of society and the funding of their health care costs. Some thought should be given to ways to reverse a demographic imbalance that produces too few children while life expectancy of the elderly increases.

Unassisted labor markets work against population growth. Given a choice between hiring parents with children and recent college graduates, the smart decision will always be to hire the new graduates, as they will demand less money – especially in the technology area where recent training is often valued over experience.

Separating out pay for families allows society to reverse that trend, with a significant driver to that separation being a more generous tax credit for children. Such a credit could be “paid for” by ending the Mortgage Interest Deduction (MID) without hurting the housing sector, as housing is the biggest area of cost growth when children are added. While lobbyists for lenders and realtors would prefer gridlock on reducing the MID, if forced to chose between transferring this deduction to families and using it for deficit reduction (as both Bowles-Simpson and Rivlin-Domenici suggest), we suspect that they would chose the former over the latter if forced to make a choice. The religious community could also see such a development as a “pro-life” vote, especially among religious liberals.

Enactment of such a credit meets both our nation’s short term needs for consumer liquidity and our long term need for population growth. Adding this issue to the pro-life agenda, at least in some quarters, makes this proposal a win for everyone.

The expansion of the Child Tax Credit is what makes tax reform worthwhile. Adding it to the employer levy rather than retaining it under personal income taxes saves families the cost of going to a tax preparer to fully take advantage of the credit and allows the credit to be distributed throughout the year with payroll. The only tax reconciliation required would be for the employer to send each beneficiary a statement of how much tax was paid, which would be shared with the government. The government would then transmit this information to each recipient family with the instruction to notify the IRS if their employer short-changes them. This also helps prevent payments to non-existent payees.

Assistance at this level, especially if matched by state governments may very well trigger another baby boom, especially since adding children will add the additional income now added by buying a bigger house. Such a baby boom is the only real long term solution to the demographic problems facing Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid, which are more demographic than fiscal. Fixing that problem in the right way definitely adds value to tax reform.

The NBRT should fund services to families, including education at all levels, mental health care, disability benefits, Temporary Aid to Needy Families, Supplemental Nutrition Assistance, Medicare and Medicaid. If society acts compassionately to prisoners and shifts from punishment to treatment for mentally ill and addicted offenders, funding for these services would be from the NBRT rather than the VAT.

The NBRT could also be used to shift governmental spending from public agencies to private providers without any involvement by the government – especially if the several states adopted an identical tax structure. Either employers as donors or workers as recipients could designate that revenues that would otherwise be collected for public schools would instead fund the public or private school of their choice. Private mental health providers could be preferred on the same basis over public mental health institutions. This is a feature that is impossible with the FairTax or a VAT alone.

To extract cost savings under the NBRT, allow companies to offer services privately to both employees and retirees in exchange for a substantial tax benefit, provided that services are at least as generous as the current programs. Employers who fund catastrophic care would get an even higher benefit, with the proviso that any care so provided be superior to the care available through Medicaid. Making employers responsible for most costs and for all cost savings allows them to use some market power to get lower rates, but not so much that the free market is destroyed. Increasing Part B and Part D premiums also makes it more likely that an employer-based system will be supported by retirees.

Enacting the NBRT is probably the most promising way to decrease health care costs from their current upward spiral – as employers who would be financially responsible for this care through taxes would have a real incentive to limit spending in a way that individual taxpayers simply do not have the means or incentive to exercise. While not all employers would participate, those who do would dramatically alter the market. In addition, a kind of beneficiary exchange could be established so that participating employers might trade credits for the funding of former employees who retired elsewhere, so that no one must pay unduly for the medical costs of workers who spent the majority of their careers in the service of other employers.
Conceivably, NBRT offsets could exceed revenue. In this case, employers would receive a VAT credit.

The Center calculates an NBRT rate of 27% before offsets for the Child Tax Credit and Health Insurance Exclusion, or 33% after the exclusions are included. This is a “balanced budget” rate. It could be set lower if the spending categories funded receive a supplement from income taxes. These calculations are, of course, subject to change based on better models.

In testimony before the Senate Budget Committee, Lawrence B. Lindsey explored the possibility of including high income taxation as a component of a Net Business Receipts Tax. The tax form could have a line on it to report income to highly paid employees and investors and pay surtaxes on that income.

The Center considered and rejected a similar option in a plan submitted to President Bush’s Tax Reform Task Force, largely because you could not guarantee that the right people pay taxes. If only large dividend payments are reported, then diversified investment income might be under-taxed, as would employment income from individuals with high investment income. Under collection could, of course, be overcome by forcing high income individuals to disclose their income to their employers and investment sources – however this may make some inheritors unemployable if the employer is in charge of paying a higher tax rate. For the sake of privacy, it is preferable to leave filing responsibilities with high income individuals.

Dr. Lindsey also stated that the NBRT could be border adjustable. We agree that this is the case only to the extent that it is not a vehicle for the offsets described above, such as the child tax credit, employer sponsored health care for workers and retirees, state-level offsets for directly providing social services and personal retirement accounts. Any taxation in excess of these offsets could be made border adjustable and doing so allows the expansion of this tax to imports to the same extent as they are taxed under the VAT. Ideally, however, the NBRT will not be collected if all employers use all possible offsets and transition completely to employee ownership and employer provision of social, health and educational services.

The question arises, does our plan do what you seek, which is to encourage growth, reduce the deficit, and promote fairness? We believe it does. The introduction of the Child Tax Credit will surely encourage both economic growth and promote fairness by making sure that family who need the income the most are funded adequately. There is much pent up demand in the system. Our proposal will unleash it. It will also promote fairness by ending the need for most families to deal with predatory lenders masquerading as tax preparers.

Our plan will reduce, and indeed, eliminate the deficit if consumption tax rates are set high enough to cover current spending, while setting income surtax rates high enough to pay for overseas and net interest spending and pay down the debt, which restores fairness to the next generation of wealthy taxpayers.

We also believe that our plan gets redistribution in Social Security and health care about right, with wealthy wage earners not saving so much that they receive an outsized benefit while still making sure everyone has an adequate income for their basic expenses and to pay for increased premiums for Medicare Parts B and D, which should have an effect on cost growth.

 
Thank you for the opportunity to address the committee. We are, of course, available for direct testimony or to answer questions by members and staff.