Comments for the
Record
United States Senate Committee on Finance
The Social
Security Administration: Is it Meeting its Responsibilities to Save Taxpayer
Dollars and Serve the Public?
Thursday, May 17, 2012, 10:00 AM
215 Dirksen Senate Office Building
By Michael Bindner
Center for Fiscal Equity
Chairman
Baucus and Ranking Member Hatch, thank you for the opportunity to address this
topic. In our view, there are two ways
of looking at this issue. One is using
the standard oversight model and the other is to look at whether things can be
better.
Under
the standard model, we need only ask whether costs are under control and
whether benefit checks are delivered accurately and promptly. If there were problems in this area, they
would both be in the news and we would hear about them anecdotally from
constituents and family members. Aside
from the odd mistake about being declared dead, which grabs headlines, the
system is regarded as quite reliable.
The
second question is more interesting. How
can the system be improved? To some
extent, the questions of saving taxpayer dollars and serving the public are
contradictory. Ending the entitlement to
benefits for all who are eligible, or in some way limiting it, will certainly
save taxpayer dollars, however that may not serve the public interest. If the vast majority of beneficiaries are
made worse off because inflation adjustments are less generous, this will be a drag
on the economy and force more family support.
We find it hard to believe that this would be in the public
interest.
Neither
would means testing benefits be seen in this light, as creating the perception
that benefits are welfare will have some beneficiaries forgo benefits, even if
they cannot afford to do so. If excess
benefits are paid to those who do not need them because of wealth, the best way
to attack this problem is through the tax system, possibly by allowing
wealthier beneficiaries to increase tax withholding to 100% and have the
proceeds go toward the program rather than the general fund.
Any discussion of reform also
leads to the question of personal accounts in Social Security. Had the proposed solution of President Bush’s
Commission to Save Social Security been enacted, the impact of the Great
Recession on retirees would have been devastating, especially in the immediate
aftermath of Congress yielding to popular pressure and voting against the TARP,
which saw the largest one-day decline in wealthy in American history. Oddly, many of those who would have been most
affected would have been those who called for the TARP to fail. Be that as it may, it was the perfect lesson
on why the Bush proposals were unworkable.
The
Center for Fiscal Equity, under its previous name, the Iowa Center
for Fiscal Equity, submitted an alternative plan for personal accounts. Unlike the Administration proposals, it would
have muted the crash in two ways, had it been fully implemented in 2008. While this itself is an impossibility,
because full implementation takes decades, the possible effects on the future
should not be discounted. Under our
plan, Old Age and Survivors Insurance revenues would not be diverted to Wall
Street, but instead would be invested in the employee’s own workplace. At full implementation, not only would most
firms be employee-owned and therefore not in the market, but they would also
take over most financial services for their employees, from mortgage finance to
consumer loans. In contrast to the
securitization and speculation which caused the financial crisis of 2008, which
we are still suffering from, Wall Street itself would have faded away and there
would be no market for subprime mortgages, as there would be no subprime jobs.
The
Center has updated its proposals from the Bush era and placed them in the
context of comprehensive tax reform. As
you know, our reform occurs in four parts:
- A Value Added Tax (VAT) to fund domestic
military spending and domestic discretionary spending with a rate between 10%
and 13%, which makes sure very American pays something.
- Personal income surtaxes on joint and widowed
filers with net annual incomes of $100,000 and single filers earning $50,000
per year to fund net interest payments, debt retirement and overseas and
strategic military spending and other international spending, with graduated
rates between 5% and 25% in either 5% or 10% increments. Heirs would also pay taxes on distributions
from estates, but not the assets themselves, with distributions from sales to a
qualified ESOP continuing to be exempt.
- Employee contributions to Old Age and Survivors
Insurance (OASI) with a lower income cap, which allows for lower payment levels
to wealthier retirees without making bend points more progressive.
- A VAT-like Net Business Receipts Tax (NBRT),
which is essentially a subtraction VAT with additional tax expenditures for
family support, health care and the
private delivery of governmental services, to fund entitlement spending and
replace income tax filing for most people (including people who file without
paying), the corporate income tax, business tax filing through individual
income taxes and the employer contribution to OASI, all payroll taxes for
hospital insurance, disability insurance, unemployment insurance and survivors
under age 60.
One of the most oft-cited reforms for dealing with the long
term deficit in Social Security is increasing the income cap to cover more
income while increasing bend points in the calculation of benefits, the
taxability of Social Security benefits or even means testing all benefits, in
order to actually increase revenue rather than simply making the program more
generous to higher income earners.
Lowering the income cap on employee contributions, while eliminating it
from employer contributions and crediting the employer contribution equally
removes the need for any kind of bend points at all, while the increased floor
for filing the income surtax effectively removes this income from
taxation. Means testing all payments is
not advisable given the movement of retirement income to defined contribution
programs, which may collapse with the stock market – making some basic benefit
essential to everyone.
Moving the majority of Old Age and Survivors Tax collection
to a consumption tax, such as the NBRT, effectively expands the tax base to
collect both wage and non-wage income while removing the cap from that
income. This allows for a lower tax rate
than would otherwise be possible while also increasing the basic benefit so
that Medicare Part B and Part D premiums may also be increased without
decreasing the income to beneficiaries.
If personal accounts are added to the system, a higher rate
could be collected, however recent economic history shows that such investments
are better made in insured employer voting stock rather than in unaccountable
index funds, which give the Wall Street Quants too much power over the economy
while further insulating ownership from management. Too much separation gives CEOs a free hand to
divert income from shareholders to their own compensation through cronyism in
compensation committees, as well as giving them an incentive to cut labor costs
more than the economy can sustain for purposes of consumption in order to
realize even greater bonuses.
Employee-ownership ends the incentive to enact job-killing tax cuts on
dividends and capital gains, which leads to an unsustainable demand for credit
and money supply growth and eventually to economic collapse similar to the one
most recently experienced.
As we
wrote in the January 2003 issue of Labor and Corporate Governance, we would
equalize the employer contribution based on average income rather than personal
income. A major strength of Social Security is its income redistribution
function. We suspect that much of the support for personal accounts is to
subvert that function – so any proposal for such accounts must move
redistribution to account accumulation by equalizing the employer contribution.
In
the unlikely even that personal accounts find consensus, we propose directing
personal account investments to employer voting stock, rather than an index
funds or any fund managed by outside brokers. There are no Index Fund
billionaires (except those who operate them). People become rich by owning and
controlling their own companies. Additionally, keeping funds in-house is the
cheapest option administratively. I suspect it is even cheaper than the Social
Security system – which operates at a much lower administrative cost than any
defined contribution plan in existence.
Safety
is, of course, a concern with personal accounts. Rather than diversifying
through investment, however, I propose diversifying through insurance. A
portion of the employer stock purchased would be traded to an insurance fund
holding shares from all such employers. Additionally, any personal retirement
accounts shifted from employee payroll taxes or from payroll taxes from
non-corporate employers would go to this fund.
The
insurance fund will save as a safeguard against bad management. If a third of
shares were held by the insurance fund than dissident employees holding 25.1%
of the employee-held shares (16.7% of the total) could combine with the
insurance fund held shares to fire management if the insurance fund agreed
there was cause to do so. Such a fund would make sure no one loses money should
their employer fail and would serve as a sword of Damocles’ to keep management
in line. This is in contrast to the Cato/ PCSSS approach, which would continue
the trend of management accountable to no one. The other part of my proposal
that does so is representative voting by occupation on corporate boards, with
either professional or union personnel providing such representation.
The
suggestions made here are much less complicated than the current mix of
proposals to change bend points and make OASI more of a needs based program. If
the personal account provisions are adopted, there is no need to address the
question of the retirement age. Workers will retire when their dividend income
is adequate to meet their retirement income needs, with or even without a
separate Social Security program.
No
other proposal for personal retirement accounts is appropriate. Personal
accounts should not be used to develop a new income stream for investment
advisors and stock traders. It should certainly not result in more “trust fund
socialism” with management that is accountable to no cause but short term gain.
Such management often ignores the long-term interests of American workers and
leaves CEOs both over-paid and unaccountable to anyone but themselves.
Progressives
should not run away from proposals to enact personal accounts. If the proposals
above are used as conditions for enactment, I suspect that they won’t have to.
The investment sector will run away from them instead and will mobilize their
constituency against them. Let us hope that by then workers become invested in
the possibilities of reform. Indeed,
real reform is only possible if workers become more radicalized to the
possibilities of workplace ownership and democracy.
The bargain struck in the Roosevelt era to allow capitalism to exist in exchange
for moving workers into the middle class. As that bargain has been abandoned on
one side, there is no reason for workers not to pick up old demands for
workplace democracy. Indeed, it is essential that they do so in order to quit
losing ground.
Social Security was part of a
new social compact which, along with very high marginal tax rates and
partnership with organized labor, built the middle class while keeping
corporate capitalism in place. In a very real way, these programs were a
reaction to not only the Great Depression, but a preventative to a very real
movement toward more direct employee control and ownership of the workplace by
the union movement. The passage of Taft-Hartley Act restrictions on
concentrated ownership of the workplace were set in place as much to protect
management from being swept away as they were a desire to diversify pension
assets to protect workers.
This
social context is important to understanding options for the future of Social
Security. In the early 1980s, Social
Security was close to having to draw from the General Fund. Ronald Reagan’s
conservatism was ascendant, with recently passed income tax cuts being phased
in over a three year period and a beginning of the end of the bargain with the
union movement to maintain labor peace in exchange for not pushing for a larger
ownership share. Indeed, for all practical purposes, labor had become
de-radicalized over time. It had moved to seeking to preserve benefit levels
rather than advancing the interests of workers into the management suite.
In this context, a new grand
bargain was created to save Social Security. Payroll taxes were increased to
build up a Trust Fund for the retirement of the Baby Boom generation. The
building of this allowed the government to use these revenues to finance
current operations, allowing the President and his allies in Congress to honor
their commitment to preserving the last increment of his signature tax cut,
where the only other realistic option at the time was to abandon some or all of
them, which was politically unacceptable given Republican control of the White
House and the Senate.
Actions
should be taken as soon as possible, especially when they must be phased in, as
it is a truism that a little action early will have a larger impact later.
This
trust fund is now coming due, with the expectation that shortfalls in Social
Security payroll taxes will be covered by both income from interest income from
the Social Security trust fund and eventually revenue from the general fund.
The cash flow problem currently experienced by the Trust Fund is not the Trust
Fund’s problem, but a problem for the Treasury to address, either through
further borrowing – which will require a quick resolution to the debt limit
extension or through higher taxes on those who received the lion’s share of the
benefit’s from the tax cuts of 1981, 1986, 2001, 2003 and 2010. At some point,
Congress must ignore the interests of its major donors (to both parties) and
honor the bargain it made to shore up the trust fund. This is entirely
appropriate, given the fact that much of the Trust Fund was built up in order
to preserve the income tax cuts of 1981.
As
luck would have it, adequate personal income tax increases to finance repaying
the Trust Fund will occur automatically on January 1, 2013. This revenue
profile, not current tax rates, must be considered the baseline on which any
new bargain is formed.
The
complication, and there are always complications, is that low tax rates enacted
on capital gains, income and dividends during the Clinton and Bush
administrations have created two asset based recessions, the first in the
technology sector and the second in housing.
The
recent recession is more accurately described as a Depression, since the
financing of the real estate bubble has still not been resolved, even while
economic growth numbers have begun to rebound. This new has both temporary and
permanent effects on the trust fund’s cash flow. The temporary effect is a
decline in revenue caused by a slower economy and the temporary cut in payroll
tax rates to provide stimulus.
The
permanent effect is the early retirement of many who had planned to work
longer, but because of the recent recession and slow recovery, this cohort has
decided to leave the labor force for good when their extended unemployment ran
out. This cohort is the older 99ers who need some kind of income now. The
combination of age discrimination and the ability to retire has led them to the
decision to retire before they had planned to do so, which impacts the cash
flow of the trust fund, but not the overall payout (as lower benefit levels
offset the impact of the decision to retire early on their total retirement
cost to the system).
It
would be entirely inappropriate to renege on promises to the baby boomers to
fund further income tax cuts by further extending the retirement age, cutting
promised Medicare benefits or by enacting an across the board increase to the
OASI payroll tax as a way to subsidize current spending or tax cuts. The
current fiscal crisis should not be an excuse to use regressive Old Age and
Survivors Insurance payroll taxes to subsidize continued tax cuts on the top
20% of wage earners who pay the majority of income taxes. Retirement on Social
Security for those at the lowest levels is still inadequate. Any change to the
program should, in time, allow a more comfortable standard of living in
retirement.
The
ultimate cause of the trust fund’s long term difficulties is not financial but
demographic. Thus, the solution must also be demographic – both in terms of
population size and income distribution. The largest demographic problem facing
Social Security and the health care entitlements, Medicare and Medicaid, is the
aging of the population. In the long term, the only solution for that aging is
to provide a decent income for every family through more generous tax benefits.
The
free market will not provide this support without such assistance, preferring
instead to hire employees as cheaply as possible. Only an explicit subsidy for
family size overcomes this market failure, leading to a reverse of the aging
crisis.
The
recommendations for raising net income are within the context of comprehensive
tax reform, where the first 25-28 percent of personal income tax rates, the
corporate income tax, unemployment insurance taxes, the Hospital Insurance
payroll tax, the Disability Insurance payroll tax and the portion of the
Survivors Insurance payroll tax funding survivors under the age of 60 have been
subsumed by a Value Added Tax (VAT) and a Net Business Receipts Tax (where the
net includes all value added, including wages and salaries).
Net
income would be adjusted upward by the amount of the VAT percentage and an increased
child tax credit of $500 per child per month. This credit would replace the
earned income tax credit, the exemption for children, the current child tax
credit, the mortgage interest deduction and the property tax deduction. This
will lead employers to decrease base wages generally so that the average family
with children and at an average income level would see no change in wage, while
wages would go up for lower income families with more children and down for
high income earners without children.
Gross
income would be adjusted by the amount of tax withholding transferred from the
employee to the employer, after first adjusting net income to reflect the
amount of tax benefits lost due to the end of the home mortgage and property
tax deductions.
This shift in tax benefits is
entirely paid for and it would not decrease the support provided in the tax
code to the housing sector – although it would change the mix of support
provided because the need for larger housing is the largest expense faced by growing
families. Indeed, this reform will likely increase support for the housing
sector, as there is some doubt in the community of tax analysts as to whether
the home mortgage deduction impacted the purchase of housing, including second
homes, by wealthier taxpayers.
Within
twenty years, a larger number of children born translates into more workers,
who in another decade will attain levels of productivity large enough to
reverse the demographic time bomb faced by Social Security in the long term.
Such
an approach is superior to proposals to enact personal savings accounts as an
addition to Social Security, as such accounts implicitly rely on profits from
overseas labor to fund the dividends required to fill the hole caused by the
aging crisis. This approach cannot succeed, however, as newly industrialized
workers always develop into consumers who demand more income, leaving less for
dividends to finance American retirements. The answer must come from solving
the demographic problem at home, rather than relying on development abroad.
This
proposal will also reduce the need for poor families to resort to abortion
services in the event of an unplanned pregnancy. Indeed, if state governments
were to follow suit in increasing child tax benefits as part of coordinated tax
reform, most family planning activities would be to increase, rather than
prevent, pregnancy. It is my hope that this fact is not lost on the Pro-Life
Community, who should score support for this plan as an essential vote in
maintaining a perfect pro-life voter rating.
Obviously,
this proposal would remove both the mortgage interest deduction and the
property tax deduction from the mix of proposals for decreasing tax rates while
reducing the deficit. This effectively ends the notion that deficit finance can
be attained in the short and medium term through tax reforms where the base is
broadened and rates are reduced. The only alternatives left are a generalized
tax increase (which is probably necessary to finance future health care needs)
and allowing tax rates for high income individuals to return to the levels
already programmed in the law as of January 1, 2013. In this regard, gridlock
is the friend of deficit reduction. Should the President show a willingness to
let all rates rise to these levels, there is literally no way to force him to
accept anything other than higher rates for the wealthy.
Thank
you for the opportunity to address the committee. We are, of course, available for direct
testimony or to answer questions by members and staff.